Authors: Kristin Romvig Overgaard; Beate Oerbeck; Svein Friis; Are Hugo Pripp; Heidi Aase; Pål Zeiner · Research

Can Early Signs of ADHD in Preschoolers Predict Later Diagnosis?

Study examines how accurately ADHD symptoms in 3-year-olds predict ADHD diagnosis at age 5

Source: Overgaard, K. R., Oerbeck, B., Friis, S., Pripp, A. H., Aase, H., & Zeiner, P. (2021). Predictive validity of attention‑deficit/hyperactivity disorder from ages 3 to 5 Years. European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, 31, 1093-1102. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00787-021-01750-5

What you need to know

  • Early signs of ADHD at age 3 can indicate increased risk of later diagnosis, but symptoms alone aren’t definitive
  • Combined reports from both parents and teachers, along with evidence of impairment, provide stronger prediction
  • Teachers may have more difficulty identifying ADHD symptoms in preschool girls compared to boys

The Challenge of Early ADHD Detection

As parents and healthcare providers, we often wonder whether challenging behaviors in young children are just a phase or signs of something that requires attention. This is especially true with ADHD symptoms like hyperactivity and difficulty focusing. While early identification can lead to better support, distinguishing between normal preschool behavior and genuine ADHD concerns isn’t always straightforward.

What the Research Shows

In this study, researchers followed nearly 1,000 children from age 3 to 5 to understand how early ADHD symptoms might predict later diagnosis. They found that when parents reported significant ADHD symptoms at age 3, about 50% of these children continued to show elevated ADHD symptoms two years later.

The prediction became stronger when three key factors were present:

  • Parent-reported ADHD symptoms
  • Noticeable impairment in daily functioning
  • Teacher-reported ADHD symptoms

For boys who showed all three factors at age 3, there was a 76% chance they would still show significant ADHD symptoms at age 5. For girls, the combination was slightly less predictive at 64%.

Gender Differences Matter

An interesting finding was that preschool teachers seemed to have more difficulty identifying ADHD symptoms in girls compared to boys. While teacher observations added valuable information for predicting ADHD in boys, they were less helpful for girls. This suggests we may need different approaches for identifying ADHD risk in young girls.

The Role of Impairment

Beyond just looking at ADHD symptoms, the study found that considering how much these behaviors interfered with daily life was crucial. When children had significant impairment in areas like family relationships, playing with friends, or learning activities, they were more likely to continue showing ADHD symptoms two years later.

What This Means for You

If you’re concerned about your preschooler’s behavior:

  • Don’t wait if you notice persistent ADHD symptoms AND they’re causing problems in daily life
  • Seek input from both teachers and healthcare providers
  • Remember that girls’ ADHD symptoms might be missed by teachers
  • Consider getting a professional evaluation if problems persist
  • Know that early symptoms don’t guarantee a later diagnosis - many children’s behaviors normalize with development

Conclusions

  • Early ADHD symptoms deserve attention but shouldn’t cause panic - many children grow out of them
  • Multiple perspectives (parents, teachers, healthcare providers) provide the most accurate picture
  • Regular monitoring of concerning behaviors is important, even if they don’t meet all diagnostic criteria
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